Writing
Demonstrations & essays.
Proof of what Umma can do, and the thinking behind the studio.
Featured demonstration
Exuberance, negligence, and deceit — a demonstration on the SpaceX and OpenAI IPOs
“Produce a rigorous, fully-sourced structural analysis of the 2026 AI IPO bubble.”
- $1.2TSpaceX price-vs-fundamentals gap
- ~$730BOpenAI price-vs-fundamentals gap
- $15–25T of downsideif it all unwinds
Featured essay
Featured essay · June 8, 2026
The Trillion Dollar Failure
“It’s not supposed to work, it’s supposed to make me rich.”
I ran my own analysis on the OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs. The numbers don’t work — and the circular financing beneath them looks a lot like 2008. Here’s who gets hurt when it breaks.
Read the essay